So the Oscars are tonight and to be honest this year I've been perfectly disinterested but there is some top class talent among the nominess who I'd like to see take home a baldy-
Actor in a Leading Role
I'd be happy if Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Capote) or David Straithairn (Good Night and Good Luck) won, I wouldn't be disappointed if the other nominees Terence Howard (Hustle and Flow), Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain) and Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line).
Actor in a Supporting Role
Give it to George Clooney for Syriana, Paul Giamatti who's been nomintated for Cinderella Man might get it by proxy, Jake Gyllenhaal is probably the (bookies) favourite, Matt Dillon (Crash) and William Hurt (A History of Violence) neither I can see winning.
Actress in a Leading Role
though I haven't seen none of their movies I'd like either Keira Knightley (Pride and Prejudice) , Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line) or Felicity Huffman (Transamerica) who I can see winning, Charlize Theron shouldn't win for North Country and I feel Judi Dench (Mrs. Henderson Presents) is like Meryl Streep she gets nominated when the Academy can't think of anybody else.
Actress in a Supporting Role
Rachel Weisz deserves it for Constant Gardener, Michelle Williams might win for Brokeback (I reckon Brokeback will win most awards tonight), Frances McDormand (North Country), Amy Adams (Junebug) and Catherine Keener (Capote-no nomination for 40 Yeard Old Virgin) I can't comment on.
Director
Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain) will win but George Clooney (Good Night and Good Luck) is maturing as a director so fast and may steal it, I can't see Spielberg winning (though Munich is a strong movie) and I think Capote will be better known in the future for it's performances.
Best Picture
I predict Brokeback Mountain, I'll feel cheated if Crash wins (It can't be the best film of 2005), whilst Capote and Munich are more there for numbers IMO, the dark horse like for director will be Clooney's Good Night and Good Luck
Animated Award will go to Howl's Moving Castle
Adaptated and Original Screenplays will go to Brokeback Mountain and Good Night and Good Luck respectively.
So there you go some of my predictions.
Truth be told it's rare the Academy gets it right- Driving Miss Daisy, Forrest Gump, A Beautiful Mind come to mind of winning the Best Picture and not even been the best film of the year. Sure it's probably a nice thing to put on your C.V for somebody and it's also been a night to embarass yourself (Sally Field, Gwyneth Paltrow, Halle Berry), dress nice (or horrible) and wear million dollar jewellery, but I don't think it truly holds that much importance to people.
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